18 Dec 2015

(363) the Shakespeare authorship and circumstantial evidence

The validity of circumstantial evidence

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Tom Regnier
1950-2020



One can be almost certain that the Shakespeare authorship question ["Was Shakespeare of Stratford a front to shield the identity of the real author?“] has not been resolved once and for all  -

Shakespeare Oxford Fellowship (SOF) president  Tom Regnier discussed the general problem of direct and circumstantial evidence  at this year’s SOF conference in Ashland, Oregon .(->.Video see below!)



On its own, circumstantial evidence allows for more than one explanation. Different pieces of circumstantial evidence may be required, so that each corroborates the conclusions drawn from the others. Together, they may more strongly support one particular inference over another. An explanation involving circumstantial evidence becomes more likely once alternative explanations have been ruled out.


Wikipedia: “A popular misconception is that circumstantial evidence is less valid or less important than direct evidence. Direct evidence is popularly, but mistakenly, considered more powerful.


Many successful criminal prosecutions rely largely or entirely on circumstantial evidence, and civil charges are frequently based on circumstantial or indirect evidence. 
University of Michigan law professor Robert Precht said, "Circumstantial evidence can be, and often is much more powerful than direct evidence."

Indeed, the common metaphor for the strongest possible evidence in any case—the "smoking gun"—is an example of proof based on circumstantial evidence. Similarly, fingerprint evidence, and many other examples of contextual evidence that support the drawing of an inference, i.e., circumstantial evidence, are considered very strong possible evidence.

In practice,
circumstantial evidence can have an advantage over direct evidence in that it can come from multiple sources that check and reinforce each other. Eyewitness testimony can be inaccurate at times, and many persons have been convicted on the basis of perjured or otherwise mistaken testimony. Thus, strong circumstantial evidence can provide a more reliable basis for a verdict.




Within  the Marlowe-Shakespeare Book a thousand(!) of circumstantial] evidences ["contextual evidences" by the majority,  but many other evidences as well] will be dealt with  that the name of a  real existing human businessman William Shakspere  (Stratford)  has been taken as a nom de plume (pseudonym) for deadly threatened Poet Genius and Superstar Christopher Marlowe in 1593 in order he could survive, change identity, live incognito  und write  under a multiplicity of pseudonyms (besides Shake-speare).-Read impressive example of 


 Circumstantial [contextual] Evidence in the SUBSEQUENT BLOG 364 


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